North Austin Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

11604 N Oaks DR, Austin TX 78753
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $303,000 11604 N Oaks DR, Austin TX 78753 · MLS #3886316 Listed at $287,500, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,770 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188747591/11604-N-Oaks-DR-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $303,000 to $375,000 1800 Rainy Meadows DR, Austin TX 78758 · MLS #8878636 Listed at $324,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,550 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 24% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182757529/1800-Rainy-Meadows-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $437,000 206 E Wonsley DR # 1, Austin TX 78753 · MLS #3231201 Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,963 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179185755/206-E-Wonsley-DR-1-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $437,000 and up 3604 Carla DR, Austin TX 78754 · MLS #8765074 Listed at $549,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,300 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522749/3604-Carla-DR-Austin-TX

Key figures · North Austin · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does it take to buy an entry-level home in North Austin today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales reached $381,999 across 65 closed transactions in September. With current mortgage rates at 7.32% according to Freddie Mac data from the week of October 22, 2026, monthly payments have shifted significantly compared to previous years. ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability model assuming a 20% down payment on a median entry-level home. At the current rate, the principal and interest payment sits at $2,099 per month. A 3-2-1 buydown could lower that first-year payment to $1,516, saving buyers $583 monthly, though it would cost approximately $14,208 upfront. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown offers a one-year reduction for about $7,212. The market shows resilience with the median price rising 3.5% from August and 3.5% compared to September 2025. Homes are selling faster now, with days on market dropping 20% from last month and 36% from a year ago. However, 78.5% of homes still sold below their original list price, indicating that buyers retain some negotiating leverage despite the lower inventory. For entry-level seekers, the data suggests that while prices are up, the speed of sales is increasing. Understanding the cost of buydowns and current rate impacts is essential for determining true affordability in this segment. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=65
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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