| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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North Austin Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $303,000
11604 N Oaks DR, Austin TX 78753 · MLS #3886316
Listed at $287,500, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,770 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188747591/11604-N-Oaks-DR-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $303,000 to $375,000
1800 Rainy Meadows DR, Austin TX 78758 · MLS #8878636
Listed at $324,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,550 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 24% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182757529/1800-Rainy-Meadows-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $437,000
206 E Wonsley DR # 1, Austin TX 78753 · MLS #3231201
Listed at $435,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,963 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 25% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179185755/206-E-Wonsley-DR-1-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $437,000 and up
3604 Carla DR, Austin TX 78754 · MLS #8765074
Listed at $549,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,300 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522749/3604-Carla-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · North Austin · September 2026
- 65 homes sold in North Austin in September 2026 (down 18.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $381,999 (up 3.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $225.
- Median days on market: 36.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.8%.
- 460 homes for sale now, about 5.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in North Austin today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales reached $381,999 across 65 closed transactions in September. With current mortgage rates at 7.32% according to Freddie Mac data from the week of October 22, 2026, monthly payments have shifted significantly compared to previous years.
ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability model assuming a 20% down payment on a median entry-level home. At the current rate, the principal and interest payment sits at $2,099 per month. A 3-2-1 buydown could lower that first-year payment to $1,516, saving buyers $583 monthly, though it would cost approximately $14,208 upfront. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown offers a one-year reduction for about $7,212.
The market shows resilience with the median price rising 3.5% from August and 3.5% compared to September 2025. Homes are selling faster now, with days on market dropping 20% from last month and 36% from a year ago. However, 78.5% of homes still sold below their original list price, indicating that buyers retain some negotiating leverage despite the lower inventory.
For entry-level seekers, the data suggests that while prices are up, the speed of sales is increasing. Understanding the cost of buydowns and current rate impacts is essential for determining true affordability in this segment.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=65
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










