Mueller Market Pulse: Prices Dip as Sales Speed Up

Deal of the Week

3820 Hermalinda ST, Austin TX 78723
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $695,000 3820 Hermalinda ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #7916983 Listed at $649,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,252 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189208772/3820-Hermalinda-ST-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $695,000 to $854,000 3917 Vaughan ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #2944991 Listed at $745,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,964 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185603603/3917-Vaughan-ST-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $854,000 to $999,000 2509 Robert Browning ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #5711084 Listed at $854,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,026 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185172102/2509-Robert-Browning-ST-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $999,000 and up 3604 Tom Miller ST, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #8335968 Listed at $2,385,000, 5 bed, 5 bath, 3,954 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184019836/3604-Tom-Miller-ST-Austin-TX

Key figures · Mueller · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What happens when homes sell faster but for slightly less? In Mueller, the median sale price dropped 4.2% to $841,683 over the last six months compared to the prior period, even as the time it takes to close a deal shrank dramatically. Across 56 closed sales, properties spent just 17 days on market, a 41% drop from the previous six-month window and a 53% drop from the same period last year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics by comparing original list prices against final sale figures. The median close-to-original-list ratio rose to 0.977, indicating that buyers are paying closer to asking price than they did previously, despite the overall median price dip. This suggests a market where competition is intense for well-priced inventory, driving quicker decisions even as total transaction values adjust downward. The data also reveals a shift in home characteristics. The median living area grew slightly to 2,080 square feet, up 3.8% from a year ago, while the price per square foot ticked up 0.7% year-over-year. With 36 active listings currently on the market and 56 sales closing in the last half-year, the supply remains tight relative to demand. This six-month snapshot captures a distinct shift: homes are moving at nearly twice the speed of last year, yet the final price tags reflect a modest correction from the peak levels seen earlier in the cycle. For buyers, this means faster competition but potentially better negotiating leverage on specific properties than in previous months. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=56
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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