| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Goodnight Ranch Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-28
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $365,000
8716 Whitter DR # B, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #7255877
Listed at $337,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,840 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187977812/8716-Whitter-DR-B-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $365,000 to $385,000
6402 Lautner LN, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #9577874
Listed at $379,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,014 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185925243/6402-Lautner-LN-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $385,000 to $410,000
8709 Slater DR, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #5745589
Listed at $399,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,524 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189552586/8709-Slater-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $410,000 and up
9103 Cattle Baron PATH, Austin TX 78747 · MLS #3883894
Listed at $539,990, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,443 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 25% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177191394/9103-Cattle-Baron-PATH-Austin-TX
Key figures · Goodnight Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 31 homes sold in Goodnight Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 16.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $385,000 (down 8.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $201.
- Median days on market: 59.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.9%.
- 49 homes for sale now, about 9.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it cost to buy an entry-level home in Goodnight Ranch today? The median price for homes in the bottom quartile of the market stands at $385,000 across 31 closed sales over the last six months. This figure represents the threshold for buyers seeking the most affordable inventory available in this Austin neighborhood.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the current mortgage environment to determine buying power. With a 30-year fixed rate of 7.32% as of late October, monthly principal and interest payments on a loan with a $308,000 balance would be $2,116. This rate significantly influences affordability compared to previous years when rates were lower.
Buyers can also consider buydowns to reduce initial costs. A 3-2-1 buydown would cost approximately $14,352 upfront, lowering the first-year rate to 4.32% and saving $588 per month initially. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown for about $7,296 would reduce the first-year rate to 5.32%, offering a monthly saving of $402. These options provide flexibility for buyers navigating the current interest rate landscape while securing a home in this active community.
The median price per square foot for these entry-level properties is $201, reflecting a 5.2% increase from the prior six-month period but an 8.2% decrease compared to the same window last year. Homes are spending a median of 59 days on market, which is 13.2% faster than the previous period and 10.6% faster than a year ago.
The data indicates that while prices have softened from their peak, the combination of current mortgage rates and home prices defines the entry-level affordability landscape in Goodnight Ranch for late 2026.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=31
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










