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East Austin Inventory Signals Buyer Leverage in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-30
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $334,000
508 Red Tails DR, Austin TX 78725 · MLS #4740040
Listed at $220,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,740 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 57% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186578457/508-Red-Tails-DR-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $490,000
2101 Rivers Edge WAY # 32, Austin TX 78741 · MLS #6319153
Listed at $339,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,488 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178436927/2101-Rivers-Edge-WAY-32-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $490,000 to $686,000
3409 Lakeside DR, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #5654948
Listed at $599,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,062 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 28% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184438510/3409-Lakeside-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $686,000 and up
2302 E 9th ST, Austin TX 78702 · MLS #8286019
Listed at $899,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,369 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184781802/2302-E-9th-ST-Austin-TX
Key figures · East Austin · September 2026
- 97 homes sold in East Austin in September 2026 (down 17.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $495,000 (up 16.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $309.
- Median days on market: 53.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.0%.
- 723 homes for sale now, about 5.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the balance of power shifting in East Austin? The latest data shows 5.41 months of inventory for September 2026, calculated from 97 closed sales against 723 active listings. This figure places the market firmly in balanced territory, where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition by comparing current stock levels to the pace of sales. A reading below four months typically favors sellers, while anything above six months favors buyers. At 5.41 months, East Austin sits squarely in the middle, indicating that homes are selling at a steady rate without the intense competition seen in previous years.
The median closing price held steady at $495,000 compared to August, but the time on market has increased significantly. Properties spent an average of 53 days on the market, a 39.5% rise from the prior month and a 10.4% increase year-over-year. This extended timeline suggests buyers have more time to evaluate options and negotiate terms, as homes are no longer moving as quickly as they did in the spring.
While prices remain stable, the window for negotiation has widened. The share of homes selling below original list price rose slightly, and the median close-to-original list ratio dipped to 0.94. For sellers, this means pricing must be precise from day one; for buyers, it offers a clearer path to securing a home without bidding wars.
The market is defined by supply meeting demand at a sustainable pace. With inventory levels stabilizing around the five-month mark, East Austin continues to operate as a balanced environment where transaction terms are increasingly driven by property specifics rather than market urgency.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=97
Cover photo: Anderson Stadium Austin Texas 2022 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










