East Austin Inventory Signals a Shift in Market Balance

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 508 Red Tails DR, Austin TX 78725 · MLS #4740040 · Listed by ZERA Realty. ALEX valuation $261,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $334,000 508 Red Tails DR, Austin TX 78725 · MLS #4740040 Listed at $220,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,740 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 57% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186578457/508-Red-Tails-DR-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $490,000 2101 Rivers Edge WAY # 32, Austin TX 78741 · MLS #6319153 Listed at $339,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,488 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178436927/2101-Rivers-Edge-WAY-32-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $490,000 to $686,000 3409 Lakeside DR, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #5654948 Listed at $599,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,062 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 28% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184438510/3409-Lakeside-DR-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $686,000 and up 2302 E 9th ST, Austin TX 78702 · MLS #8286019 Listed at $899,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,369 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184781802/2302-E-9th-ST-Austin-TX

Key figures · East Austin · September 2026

95 homes sold in East Austin in September 2026 (down 18.8% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $490,000 (up 15.3% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $306.

Median days on market: 54.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.9%.

734 homes for sale now, about 5.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Is the East Austin market finally balancing after years of rapid growth? The latest data for September 2026 suggests a distinct shift in dynamics. With 734 active listings and 95 closed sales over the past month, the region now holds 5.5 months of inventory. This figure is calculated by dividing current active listings by the monthly closing rate and serves as the primary gauge for market balance. Historically, less than six months indicates a seller's market where demand outstrips supply, while more than six months signals a buyer's market with ample choice. At 5.5 months, East Austin sits in a transitional zone, edging closer to balanced conditions where neither side holds overwhelming leverage. This represents a notable change from the tighter constraints seen in previous years, as the window for negotiation has widened slightly. Despite the inventory increase, demand remains robust compared to last year. Median closed prices reached $490,000, a 15.3% increase over September 2025 figures of $425,000. However, the pace of sales has slowed relative to the prior month, with days on market rising 42.1% to a median of 54 days. This combination of higher prices and longer listing times reflects a market where buyers are taking more time to evaluate options while sellers continue to command premiums over last year's levels. ALEX Intelligence classifies this inventory level as approaching balanced conditions, offering a more stable environment for both buyers and sellers compared to the extreme seller's markets of the past. The data indicates that while prices remain strong, the urgency to close deals has diminished, allowing for a more measured approach to transactions in East Austin. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.

Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB

Broker · North Carolina License #367733

Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456

Broker · Alabama License #000178406

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas.

Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog.

TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice