Circle C Ranch: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Six Months

Circle C Ranch is currently experiencing a supply gap where new inventory is entering faster than it is being absorbed. Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, 100 new listings were added to the market while only 67 homes successfully closed. This divergence between supply and demand indicates that active inventory levels are rising relative to sales velocity. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this gap. In the same period twelve months prior, 89 new listings were recorded against 79 closings. The current ratio shows a widening divergence, with new supply increasing by approximately 12% compared to the prior six-month window, while closed sales rose by roughly 58%. This shift suggests a transition toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable environment compared to the tighter market conditions seen in late 2024 and early 2025. While median prices have risen to $812,000 across 106 closed sales, the influx of new listings provides buyers with more options than were available in the previous comparable period. The data reflects a dynamic where sellers are listing at a higher rate than buyers are closing deals, potentially stabilizing price growth as inventory accumulates. The supply gap highlights that while demand remains robust enough to drive prices up 8.6% from the prior six months, the market is absorbing new stock at a slower pace than it is being introduced. This pattern often precedes a period where price appreciation moderates as the ratio of active listings to closed sales increases. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog