| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Circle C Ranch: How List Prices Compare to Sells
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $675,000
9131 Edwardson LN, Austin TX 78749 · MLS #5457585
Listed at $624,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,603 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186796405/9131-Edwardson-LN-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $675,000 to $789,000
5120 Bluestar DR, Austin TX 78739 · MLS #5073205
Listed at $714,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,523 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188897141/5120-Bluestar-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $789,000 to $917,000
8008 Ladera Verde DR, Austin TX 78739 · MLS #3905886
Listed at $899,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,124 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186320336/8008-Ladera-Verde-DR-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $917,000 and up
5604 Beachmont CT, Austin TX 78739 · MLS #3674164
Listed at $929,900, 5 bed, 3 bath, 3,137 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182523028/5604-Beachmont-CT-Austin-TX
Key figures · Circle C Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 106 homes sold in Circle C Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 34.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $812,000 (up 6.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $299.
- Median days on market: 9.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 98.8%.
- 27 homes for sale now, about 1.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How much of their asking price do sellers actually receive in Circle C Ranch? ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to answer this. The median close-to-original list ratio now stands at 98.8%, up from 96.7% in the prior six-month period. This metric measures how closely homes sell to their initial price tag, with a value of 100% indicating sales exactly at list and values below 100% indicating discounts.
In the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, 106 homes closed in Circle C Ranch. The median sale price reached $812,000, a 6.6% increase compared to the same window last year. While 57.5% of these sales closed below their original list price, that share has dropped significantly from 73.1% previously. This shift suggests buyers are becoming more willing to meet seller expectations as competition intensifies.
ALEX Intelligence fit a pricing model to these local transactions to track this trend. The median close-to-original list ratio improved by 2.2 percentage points compared to the prior period and is now 1.4 percentage points higher than last year. This indicates that homes are selling closer to their asking prices today than they did in recent months, reflecting a tightening market where negotiation leverage has shifted back toward sellers.
The median price per square foot also rose slightly to $299, up 0.7% from the prior period. With only 27 active listings currently on the market, inventory remains tight relative to the 106 sales recorded over the last six months. This scarcity supports the observed improvement in list-to-sale ratios, as buyers face fewer options and must compete more aggressively for available properties.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=106
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










