Central Austin Market Heat Score Rises in October

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 5307 Harmon Ave # 2, Austin TX 78751 · MLS #5642061 · Listed by Team Price Real Estate. ALEX valuation $422,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $485,000 5307 Harmon Ave # 2, Austin TX 78751 · MLS #5642061 Listed at $379,900, 2 bed, 1.5 bath, 1,088 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189791108/5307-Harmon-Ave-2-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $485,000 to $800,000 2003 Woodmont Ave, Austin TX 78703 · MLS #7186898 Listed at $749,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,974 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 33% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187545425/2003-Woodmont-Ave-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $800,000 to $1,299,000 4324 Far West BLVD, Austin TX 78731 · MLS #5018763 Listed at $1,125,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,013 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 25% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1154809480/4324-Far-West-BLVD-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $1,299,000 and up 8512 Rockwood LN, Austin TX 78757 · MLS #4244571 Listed at $1,399,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,853 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186788293/8512-Rockwood-LN-Austin-TX

Key figures · Central Austin · October 2026

64 homes sold in Central Austin in October 2026 (down 15.8% on a year earlier).

Median net sale price: $1,178,775 (up 12.2% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $500.

Median days on market: 26.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.7%.

774 homes for sale now, about 5.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

What does a 25.6% jump in median price tell us about Central Austin? In October 2026, the market showed signs of significant heating despite fewer homes selling. ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score by weighing days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions against historical baselines for this area. The data reveals a distinct shift in momentum. Median days on market dropped 35% to just 26 days compared to the prior month, while the median close-to-original list ratio improved by 0.9 percentage points to 94.7%. Simultaneously, the share of homes selling below original list price fell by 5%, indicating stronger buyer competition. Although total closed sales decreased by 23.8% from September, the speed of transactions and the resilience of prices suggest a market moving toward seller-favorable conditions. The composite score reflects this intensity. With inventory at 5.19 months and median prices reaching $1,178,775 across 64 closed sales, the area is outperforming its recent trends. This analysis relies on a weighted index of key performance indicators to quantify market temperature without predicting future direction. The score indicates that Central Austin is currently experiencing elevated demand relative to supply, even as transaction volume fluctuates. This assessment is an ALEX Intelligence estimate based on Unlock MLS data and is not an appraisal. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC

Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

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