Central Austin Inventory Signals a Balanced Market in October

Is the Central Austin market finally balancing out? The latest data shows 5.13 months of inventory based on 99 closed sales in October, a figure that signals a shift from a seller's advantage to a balanced market. This metric is calculated by dividing the current active listings by the average monthly closings over the trailing period. When inventory sits below four months, sellers typically hold the leverage; above six months favors buyers. At 5.13 months, Central Austin now sits squarely in the middle ground where neither side dominates significantly. This balance coincides with a 20% jump in median closed prices to $900,000 compared to September, even as sales volume dropped 24.4%. The market is also moving faster than last year, with homes spending an average of 30 days on the market, down 28.6% from October 2025. However, price negotiations remain tight, with 86.9% of homes selling below their original list price. ALEX Intelligence estimates that while inventory has stabilized, the high median price point of $900,000 keeps affordability a key factor for buyers entering this balanced window. This analysis relies on 99 closed transactions in October 2026 to determine the current supply-demand equilibrium. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog