Central Austin New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

808 E 46th ST # B, Austin TX 78751
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $486,000 808 E 46th ST # B, Austin TX 78751 · MLS #4545087 Listed at $299,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 704 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188283727/808-E-46th-ST-B-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $486,000 to $800,000 907 E 53rd ST, Austin TX 78751 · MLS #5508425 Listed at $749,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,693 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1174750180/907-E-53rd-ST-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $800,000 to $1,297,000 2811 W Fresco DR, Austin TX 78731 · MLS #3909268 Listed at $850,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,109 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 21% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184819404/2811-W-Fresco-DR-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $1,297,000 and up 4519 Depew Ave, Austin TX 78751 · MLS #3647038 Listed at $1,549,000, 7 bed, 5 bath, 3,918 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187651499/4519-Depew-Ave-Austin-TX

Key figures · Central Austin · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

In Central Austin, new supply outpaced demand last month as 212 homes hit the market while 131 properties closed. This creates a net addition of active listings to the inventory pool during September 2026. The metric for this analysis compares new listing counts against closed sale counts to identify whether the market is absorbing supply or accumulating it. The data shows a clear divergence in activity levels. While 131 sales occurred across 131 transactions, the influx of 212 new listings suggests sellers are responding to current conditions with increased volume. This gap between incoming inventory and outgoing closings is a primary driver of the 4.93 months of supply currently available for buyers. When comparing this month's activity to the prior period, the trend remains consistent. The 212 new listings represent a significant increase over the 177 added in August, while closed sales dipped slightly from 132 to 131. This pattern indicates that seller confidence is high enough to list more frequently, even as buyer pace remains steady at 131 homes per month. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to determine the current supply gap. The result is a market where inventory is growing faster than it is being absorbed, shifting the balance toward buyers who have more options and less urgency to act immediately. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, September 2026, n=131
Cover photo: Aerial - North central Austin, Texas 01 by Joe Mabel, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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