| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Austin: How Mortgage Rates Are Shaping Buying Power in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $391,000
6605 Highpoint DR, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #8859318
Listed at $279,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,806 sq ft. Listed 15% below the ALEX valuation; 48% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179985407/6605-Highpoint-DR-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $391,000 to $570,000
506 Tillery ST, Austin TX 78702 · MLS #6912801
Listed at $500,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,878 sq ft. Listed 25% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 31% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176927162/506-Tillery-ST-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $570,000 to $870,000
6136 Florencia LN, Austin TX 78724 · MLS #7425738
Listed at $660,000, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,920 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180246182/6136-Florencia-LN-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $870,000 and up
932 E 53rd ST, Austin TX 78751 · MLS #9199032
Listed at $999,500, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,250 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 16% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183561375/932-E-53rd-ST-Austin-TX
Key figures · Austin · September 2026
- 825 homes sold in Austin in September 2026 (down 6.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $575,000 (up 5.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $287.
- Median days on market: 46.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.0%.
- 4,464 homes for sale now, about 4.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.24% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in Austin today? With the median home price at $575,000 across 825 closed sales in September, the monthly principal and interest payment on a standard 30-year fixed loan with 20% down is $3,135. That figure sets the baseline for affordability in this market.
ALEX Intelligence modeled how buydowns alter that payment. A 3-2-1 buydown lowers the rate to 4.24% in year one, dropping the monthly payment to $2,260 and saving $875 per month. The cost of that buydown is $21,348, or 3.71% of the median sale price. In year two, the rate steps up to 5.24%, with a $598 monthly savings, and in year three it reaches 6.24%, saving $306 per month.
A simpler 2-1 buydown reduces the rate to 5.24% in year one, saving $598 monthly, then to 6.24% in year two, saving $306 monthly. The total cost for this option is $10,848, or 1.89% of the median sale price. These scenarios show how upfront costs can be traded for lower monthly payments when rates are elevated.
The market reflects these dynamics: median days on market rose 21.1% from August to 46 days, while the median close-to-original-list ratio held at 0.94. Buyers who secure a buydown may find more negotiating room, but the total cost of the buydown must be weighed against the long-term rate environment.
ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=825; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 29, 2026
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









