Travis County Market Heat Score: October 2026

Is the Travis County market cooling or simply stabilizing? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for October 2026 is 58 out of 100, indicating a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive advantage. This composite index weighs four key factors: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The score reflects a market in transition. Median days on market held steady at 58 days compared to September, but dropped 14.7% from the same month last year when homes sat for 68 days. This faster turnover suggests demand remains active despite a 12.6% drop in sales volume compared to October 2025. Homes are selling closer to their original list prices, with the median close-to-original list ratio at 94.4%, up slightly from last year. Inventory pressure is visible but not overwhelming. With 6,037 active listings and 837 closed sales in the month, the market sits at 4.78 months of supply. This level typically signals a balanced environment where buyers have choices but must act decisively. The heat score also accounts for price cuts; while 82.7% of homes sold below their original list price, this share has decreased slightly compared to the prior period and last year, suggesting sellers are becoming more realistic about pricing rather than engaging in aggressive discounting. ALEX Intelligence calculates this score by normalizing these four metrics against historical baselines for the region. A score near 50 indicates equilibrium, while scores above 60 lean toward seller conditions and below 40 favor buyers. In October, Travis County sits firmly in the middle, offering a stable environment for both sides to transact without extreme pressure on either side of the negotiation table. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog