Travis County Market Heat Score: October 2026

Is Travis County cooling or simply normalizing after a busy summer? The median price for single-family homes held steady at $500,000 in October, matching the prior month and sitting just 2.9% below the same time last year across 835 closed sales. ALEX Intelligence calculated a composite market heat score of 48 out of 100 for this period. This index weighs median days on market, sale-to-list price ratios, inventory levels, and price reduction frequency to gauge overall momentum. A score near the midpoint suggests a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold overwhelming leverage. Inventory has expanded significantly, with active listings reaching 6,075 homes today. This supply push has pushed months of inventory to 4.82, moving the market further from a seller's advantage toward a more neutral stance. While the median days on market remains at 58 days, slightly faster than the prior month and notably quicker than the 68 days seen in October 2025, the pace of sales has slowed. Closed transactions dropped 13.5% compared to September, though they remain comparable to the previous year's volume. Buyers are finding more options, with 82.7% of homes selling below their original list price. The median close-to-original-list ratio stands at 0.944, indicating that negotiation is still a standard part of the process. With mortgage rates at 7.18% according to Freddie Mac data from early November, affordability remains a key factor in this steady market dynamic. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog