| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club. |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al. |
| Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB |
| Broker · North Carolina License #367733 |
| Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456 |
| Broker · Alabama License #000178406 |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas. |
| Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog. |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Travis County Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-04
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $350,000
1408 Luna ST, Austin TX 78721 · MLS #3136628
Listed at $179,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 508 sq ft. Listed 29% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 36% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182937326/1408-Luna-ST-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $350,000 to $500,000
3100 Lynridge DR, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #8624488
Listed at $499,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,111 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180368033/3100-Lynridge-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $500,000 to $795,000
316 Buffalo Ridge DR, Manchaca TX 78652 · MLS #9407973
Listed at $610,000, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,678 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1174111756/316-Buffalo-Ridge-DR-Manchaca-TX
Upper quartile: $795,000 and up
2607 E 5th ST, Austin TX 78702 · MLS #4719275
Listed at $799,000, 1 bed, 0.5 bath, 2,348 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1157824990/2607-E-5th-ST-Austin-TX
Key figures · Travis County · October 2026
- 965 homes sold in Travis County in October 2026 (down 11.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $485,000 (down 4.4% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $252.
- Median days on market: 49.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.1%.
- 6,031 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it cost to buy an entry-level home in Travis County today? The bottom quartile of the market closed at a median price of $485,000 across 965 sales in October 2026. This figure represents the threshold for the most affordable tier of homes sold in the county over the trailing 12 months.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the current mortgage environment to assess affordability for these buyers. With a median sale price of $485,000 and a prevailing 30-year fixed rate of 7.24% (Freddie Mac, week of Oct 29, 2026), a buyer faces a principal and interest payment of $2,644 per month.
To compare the impact of financing incentives, we modeled two common buydown structures based on the median sale price. A 3-2-1 buydown would reduce the rate to 4.24% in year one, saving $738 monthly for a total cost of $18,000 (3.71% of the price). A 2-1 buydown offers a smaller reduction with a total cost of $9,144 (1.89% of the price).
While the median entry-level price is down 4.4% from October 2025, the higher interest rates significantly impact monthly cash flow compared to previous years. Buyers entering this tier must weigh the lower purchase price against the cost of financing and potential buydowns to determine true affordability in the current market.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=965
Cover photo: Highland Club Village, Marshall Ford ("Highland Club Village, Marshall Ford, TX 78734, USA - panoramio") by JAGarcia, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov







