Travis County: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 7301 Marywood CIR, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #3744736
Listed at $460,000, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,690 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 42% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178420584/7301-Marywood-CIR-Austin-TX
2. 8201 Greyhawk CV, Austin TX 78744 · MLS #1406813
Listed at $410,000, 5 bed, 5.5 bath, 3,219 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 57% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 25% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516462/8201-Greyhawk-CV-Austin-TX
3. 3629 Ruby Red DR, Austin TX 78728 · MLS #3202825
Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,012 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 35% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180028962/3629-Ruby-Red-DR-Austin-TX
4. 6011 Shoal Creek BLVD, Austin TX 78757 · MLS #9554641
Listed at $975,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,930 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 52% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183071303/6011-Shoal-Creek-BLVD-Austin-TX
5. 6228 Adair DR, Austin TX 78754 · MLS #4313869
Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,670 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 44% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182523611/6228-Adair-DR-Austin-TX
In Travis County, the gap between asking and selling prices narrowed slightly compared to last year. Across 1,067 closed sales in September 2026, homes sold for a median of $497,400, which is 94.2% of their original list price. This represents a 2.2 percentage point increase from the same month last year when the ratio was 92.2%.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this trend. The median close-to-original-list ratio rose from 0.946 in August to 0.942 in September, a slight dip of 0.4% month-over-month. However, the year-over-year improvement is clear, as buyers are now paying closer to list price than they were in September 2025.
Despite the ratio improving annually, 84.2% of homes still sold below their original list price. This share increased by 1.1 percentage points compared to August and decreased by 4.3 percentage points compared to last year. The median days on market also rose to 52 days, up 20.9% from the prior month, suggesting that while prices are holding firm relative to lists, properties are taking longer to sell than in the immediate past.
The data reflects a market where negotiation remains common but is less aggressive than last year. With 1,067 transactions providing a robust sample size, the trend indicates a shift toward more balanced pricing dynamics compared to the steeper discounts seen in the previous year.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=1067
Cover photo: Highland Club Village, Marshall Ford ("Highland Club Village, Marshall Ford, TX 78734, USA - panoramio") by JAGarcia, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










