Horseshoe Bay: New Listings vs. Closings Gap Widens

Deal of the Week

2606 Deep CYN, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $432,000 2606 Deep CYN, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3057421 Listed at $419,000, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,581 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186233170/2606-Deep-CYN-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Lower-middle quartile: $432,000 to $710,000 104 Comanche Agate, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #5648492 Listed at $499,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,355 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 32% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190756494/104-Comanche-Agate-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper-middle quartile: $710,000 to $1,304,000 104 Smugglers CV, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #3420939 Listed at $999,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,160 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179672128/104-Smugglers-CV-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper quartile: $1,304,000 and up 106 Edwards CIR, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7175538 Listed at $1,749,000, 3 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,410 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180780417/106-Edwards-CIR-Horseshoe-Bay-TX

Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Horseshoe Bay market figures and ALEX agents

In Horseshoe Bay, the balance between new supply and buyer demand has shifted noticeably over the last six months. A total of 153 new listings entered the market while only 78 single-family homes completed their sales process. This divergence creates a widening gap where incoming inventory is outpacing closings by more than two to one. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand dynamics using a dual-axis trend comparison of listing volume against closed transactions. The data shows that new listings rose slightly from 152 in the prior six-month period to 153 now, whereas closed sales increased from 55 to 78. Despite the rise in closings, the sheer volume of new inventory means months of supply has climbed to nearly 10 months based on current active listings. This accumulation suggests a market where buyers have more choices and less urgency to compete immediately. The median days on market for these homes now stands at 118 days, up from 94 days in the same period last year. While the number of sales has improved compared to the prior six-month window, the rate of new supply entering the system continues to exceed the absorption rate. The result is a market environment where inventory is building faster than it is being absorbed by buyers. This shift favors those looking for time to evaluate options rather than those needing to act instantly. The data reflects a clear transition in the local balance between what sellers are bringing to market and what buyers are closing on. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6-month sales and listing activity ending Oct 31, 2026, n=78 closed
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov