Horseshoe Bay Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend

Is the Horseshoe Bay market cooling? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for this region reflects a shift toward buyer conditions as inventory accumulates and prices retreat. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, 104 homes closed at a median price of $710,000, down 6.2% from the same period last year. The market is currently holding 10.4 months of inventory, calculated by dividing the 181 active listings by the monthly sales pace. This volume of stock signals a distinct move away from a seller's market toward balanced or buyer-favorable conditions. The ALEX Intelligence composite index weighs four key factors: days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions. In this window, homes spent a median of 82 days on the market, an 18.8% decrease from the prior six-month period but still significantly longer than the regional average of 58 days. Furthermore, 93.3% of sales closed below the original list price, with the median close-to-original-list ratio at 0.906. While the median price per square foot rose slightly to $297, the overall heat score indicates a market where buyers have more leverage. The combination of high inventory and reduced sale ratios suggests that negotiation power has shifted, even as new construction continues to account for a portion of the sales volume. This data-driven assessment provides a clear snapshot of current market dynamics without projecting future trends. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog