Horseshoe Bay Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

603 Sun Ray, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $431,000 603 Sun Ray, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #1346658 Listed at $354,750, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,632 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 31% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1175110389/603-Sun-Ray-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Lower-middle quartile: $431,000 to $735,000 707 Broken HLS, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #9355753 Listed at $699,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,818 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183994534/707-Broken-HLS-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper-middle quartile: $735,000 to $1,304,000 103 Stillwater, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #7595062 Listed at $999,000, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,959 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177500772/103-Stillwater-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper quartile: $1,304,000 and up 402 Lighthouse DR, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #9735758 Listed at $5,150,000, 4 bed, 5 bath, 6,737 sq ft. Listed 20% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178999308/402-Lighthouse-DR-Horseshoe-Bay-TX

Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All Horseshoe Bay market figures and ALEX agents

What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Horseshoe Bay right now? With the median price for the bottom quartile of sales at $585,000 and current mortgage rates at 7.24%, affordability is the primary question for buyers. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the bottom price quartile across 102 closed sales to determine entry-level thresholds. The data shows that while the overall median sale price for the market is $710,000, the entry segment sits significantly lower at $585,000. However, financing costs remain a factor; at a 7.24% rate on a standard 20% down payment, principal and interest alone would be approximately $3,871 per month for a median-priced home. The market has seen some softness in this segment compared to last year, with entry-level prices down 6.2% over the trailing 12 months. This shift suggests that buyers focusing on the lower price tier may find more negotiating power, especially as 93.1% of sales closed below the original list price. For those looking at new construction, which accounts for 17 of the recent closings, the median price is higher than the entry quartile but still represents a distinct segment of the market. The average home size in this lower tier remains substantial at roughly 2,500 square feet, indicating that even entry-level properties in Horseshoe Bay are spacious compared to regional averages. Buyers should note that while prices have adjusted downward, the high interest rate environment means monthly payments remain elevated relative to historical norms. The combination of a $585,000 entry price and current rates defines the current affordability landscape for first-time or budget-conscious buyers in this community. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=102
Cover photo: Lake LBJ at Horseshoe Bay by Eric Polk, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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