Llano County Market Heat Score: A Cooling Signal in September

Deal of the Week

1515 Bee LN, Tow TX 78672
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $362,000 1515 Bee LN, Tow TX 78672 · MLS #4839795 Listed at $245,000, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,104 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1160355085/1515-Bee-LN-Tow-TX Lower-middle quartile: $362,000 to $588,000 215 E McGee TRL, Kingsland TX 78639 · MLS #3186267 Listed at $499,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,357 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186179581/215-E-McGee-TRL-Kingsland-TX Upper-middle quartile: $588,000 to $1,165,000 261 Diamond Cross DR, Llano TX 78643 · MLS #8516020 Listed at $795,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,267 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173122982/261-Diamond-Cross-DR-Llano-TX Upper quartile: $1,165,000 and up 109 Island CT, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2348777 Listed at $1,849,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,637 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1152284799/109-Island-CT-Horseshoe-Bay-TX

Key figures · Llano County · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Llano County's market dynamics shifted noticeably in September 2026 as the median close price fell to $665,000, down 19.1% from August and 28.1% lower than the same month last year. This decline coincided with a 37.1% increase in median days on market, which climbed to 96 days, indicating that properties are taking significantly longer to sell compared to prior periods. ALEX Intelligence calculated the Llano County Market Heat Score using a composite index based on four key weights: days on market (25%), sale-to-list ratio (25%), inventory levels (25%), and price reduction frequency (25%). With 12.3 months of active inventory currently available and a median close-to-original list ratio of just 0.877, the data points to a distinct cooling trend. Only 3.7% of homes sold above their original list price, while 96.2% closed below it, reflecting a buyer-favorable environment where negotiation power has shifted significantly. The heat score reflects these combined pressures: rising inventory, extended selling times, and reduced sale ratios. While the market remains active with 26 closed sales in the month, the trajectory suggests a transition from a balanced or seller-leaning market to one where buyers have more leverage. This assessment is based on 26 closed transactions in September 2026, providing a snapshot of current conditions rather than a long-term forecast. https://alex.realestate Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=26
Cover photo: Wildflowers on ranchland, Llano County by William L. Farr, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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