| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Llano County Market Heat Score: A Cooling Signal in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $362,000
1515 Bee LN, Tow TX 78672 · MLS #4839795
Listed at $245,000, 3 bed, 1 bath, 1,104 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1160355085/1515-Bee-LN-Tow-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $362,000 to $588,000
215 E McGee TRL, Kingsland TX 78639 · MLS #3186267
Listed at $499,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,357 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 45% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186179581/215-E-McGee-TRL-Kingsland-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $588,000 to $1,165,000
261 Diamond Cross DR, Llano TX 78643 · MLS #8516020
Listed at $795,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,267 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173122982/261-Diamond-Cross-DR-Llano-TX
Upper quartile: $1,165,000 and up
109 Island CT, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2348777
Listed at $1,849,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 3,637 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1152284799/109-Island-CT-Horseshoe-Bay-TX
Key figures · Llano County · September 2026
- 26 homes sold in Llano County in September 2026 (down 3.7% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $665,000 (down 28.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $287.
- Median days on market: 96.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 87.7%.
- 318 homes for sale now, about 12.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Llano County's market dynamics shifted noticeably in September 2026 as the median close price fell to $665,000, down 19.1% from August and 28.1% lower than the same month last year. This decline coincided with a 37.1% increase in median days on market, which climbed to 96 days, indicating that properties are taking significantly longer to sell compared to prior periods.
ALEX Intelligence calculated the Llano County Market Heat Score using a composite index based on four key weights: days on market (25%), sale-to-list ratio (25%), inventory levels (25%), and price reduction frequency (25%). With 12.3 months of active inventory currently available and a median close-to-original list ratio of just 0.877, the data points to a distinct cooling trend. Only 3.7% of homes sold above their original list price, while 96.2% closed below it, reflecting a buyer-favorable environment where negotiation power has shifted significantly.
The heat score reflects these combined pressures: rising inventory, extended selling times, and reduced sale ratios. While the market remains active with 26 closed sales in the month, the trajectory suggests a transition from a balanced or seller-leaning market to one where buyers have more leverage. This assessment is based on 26 closed transactions in September 2026, providing a snapshot of current conditions rather than a long-term forecast.
https://alex.realestate
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=26
Cover photo: Wildflowers on ranchland, Llano County by William L. Farr, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










