Wimberley New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 207 Hub DR, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #4604705 · Listed by Century 21 Randall Morris & As. ALEX valuation $412,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $436,000 207 Hub DR, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #4604705 Listed at $385,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,420 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180854053/207-Hub-DR-Wimberley-TX Lower-middle quartile: $436,000 to $560,000 98 Whispering Valley DR, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #8659317 Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,871 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185972595/98-Whispering-Valley-DR-Wimberley-TX Upper-middle quartile: $560,000 to $810,000 2501 Fischer Store Rd. RD, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #9549233 Listed at $599,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,800 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182524428/2501-Fischer-Store-Rd.-RD-Wimberley-TX Upper quartile: $810,000 and up 3805 Lone Man Mountain RD # B, Wimberley TX 78676 · MLS #7279014 Listed at $995,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,987 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 26% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1150844009/3805-Lone-Man-Mountain-RD-B-Wimberley-TX

Key figures · Wimberley · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

116 homes sold in Wimberley in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 17.1% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $523,000 (up 10.7% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $282.

Median days on market: 52.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.7%.

193 homes for sale now, about 10.0 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

In Wimberley, a surge of new inventory is meeting steady demand, creating a distinct supply dynamic over the last six months. The market recorded 198 new listings while 116 homes closed, resulting in a net increase in available stock. This divergence between new supply and completed sales defines the current balance for buyers and sellers. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this gap. Over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026, the 198 new listings exceeded the 116 closed sales. This influx has contributed to a current inventory level of 193 active homes for sale, which translates to roughly 10 months of supply at the current sales pace. The median price for these 116 closed transactions was $523,000, a figure that sits 11.7% lower than the prior six-month period but remains 10.7% higher than the same window last year. While new construction accounted for 20 of the closings, the broader market saw median living area shrink slightly to 1,926 square feet compared to 2,204 square feet previously. The data indicates that while homes are selling, the rate of new supply entering the market is outpacing the rate at which properties are closing, shifting the local equilibrium toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable environment. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951