La Cima Market Recap and Outlook for October 2026

Deal of the Week

133 Horseherb WAY, San Marcos TX 78666
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $358,000 133 Horseherb WAY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #9845553 Listed at $356,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,980 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191049980/133-Horseherb-WAY-San-Marcos-TX Lower-middle quartile: $358,000 to $450,000 218 Penstemon VW, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #7009608 Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,545 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188511646/218-Penstemon-VW-San-Marcos-TX Upper-middle quartile: $450,000 to $511,000 112 Teakmill TRL, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #8991273 Listed at $474,990, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,558 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180514671/112-Teakmill-TRL-San-Marcos-TX Upper quartile: $511,000 and up 229 Majestic Sage TRL, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #4133686 Listed at $529,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,258 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187798026/229-Majestic-Sage-TRL-San-Marcos-TX

Key figures · La Cima · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

La Cima saw a median sale price of $454,745 across 42 closed sales in the rolling six-month period ending October 2026. This represents a 12.5% increase from the prior six months, though prices remain 4.7% below the same window last year. The market is moving faster than before, with homes spending a median of 66 days on the market, down 32.7% from the previous period and 60.9% lower than a year ago. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply dynamics to determine current conditions. With 56 active listings and 42 closings over six months, the area holds 8.0 months of inventory. This level suggests a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. The share of homes selling below original list price is 83.3%, slightly lower than the prior period, indicating that while discounts are common, they are becoming less frequent as prices stabilize. New construction continues to play a significant role, accounting for 19 of the 42 closed sales in this window. The typical home sold was 2,380 square feet, which is 5.5% larger than the prior six-month average but 9.2% smaller than homes sold a year ago. Buyers are currently paying $193.06 per square foot on average, a figure that has risen 0.6% from the previous period and 3.8% compared to last year. At current mortgage rates of 7.11%, affordability remains a key factor for buyers in La Cima. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 93.3%, showing that negotiated prices are settling closer to asking levels than they were previously. As the market moves into the final quarter, the combination of rising prices and faster sales cycles indicates a tightening supply environment relative to demand. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=42
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov