La Cima: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

212 Cogitare LN, San Marcos TX 78666
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $360,000 212 Cogitare LN, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #4122261 Listed at $339,268, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,977 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178364801/212-Cogitare-LN-San-Marcos-TX Lower-middle quartile: $360,000 to $450,000 222 Penstemon VW, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #6354593 Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,513 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188319419/222-Penstemon-VW-San-Marcos-TX Upper-middle quartile: $450,000 to $545,000 420 Bundleflower WAY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #3691721 Listed at $519,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186073151/420-Bundleflower-WAY-San-Marcos-TX Upper quartile: $545,000 and up 229 Crabapple CT, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #5057066 Listed at $574,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,994 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187007435/229-Crabapple-CT-San-Marcos-TX

Key figures · La Cima · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

La Cima is currently experiencing a supply gap where new listings are entering the market faster than homes are closing. Over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, 63 new listings were added while only 42 homes closed. This imbalance creates a dual-axis trend where inventory accumulation outpaces absorption. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand dynamics using the Unlock MLS data for this period. The ratio of new listings to closings stands at approximately 1.5 to 1, indicating that sellers are bringing more properties to market than buyers are removing through closed sales. This pattern suggests a gradual shift toward a more balanced or buyer-favorable environment compared to tighter markets where demand exceeds supply. The median close price for these 42 transactions was $466,900, up 14.2% from the prior six-month period but down 2.7% from the same window last year. Meanwhile, the median days on market dropped significantly to 66 days, a 51.5% improvement compared to the previous year, showing that despite higher inventory, homes are selling faster than they did in late 2025. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.18% according to Freddie Mac data from the week of November 5, 2026. This rate environment influences buyer purchasing power and may contribute to the observed gap between new supply and completed transactions. The data reflects a market where activity is robust but supply growth is currently outstripping sales velocity. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=42 closed sales and n=63 new listings
View this home on alex.realestateDownload the PDFDownload the videoSchedule a showing
Slide 1Slide 2Slide 3Slide 4Slide 5Slide 6Slide 7Slide 8Slide 9Slide 10Slide 11
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov