| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
La Cima: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-05
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $360,000
212 Cogitare LN, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #4122261
Listed at $339,268, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,977 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178364801/212-Cogitare-LN-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $360,000 to $450,000
222 Penstemon VW, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #6354593
Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,513 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188319419/222-Penstemon-VW-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $450,000 to $545,000
420 Bundleflower WAY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #3691721
Listed at $519,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186073151/420-Bundleflower-WAY-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $545,000 and up
229 Crabapple CT, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #5057066
Listed at $574,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,994 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187007435/229-Crabapple-CT-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · La Cima · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 42 homes sold in La Cima in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 30.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $466,900 (down 2.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $196.
- Median days on market: 66.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.3%.
- 55 homes for sale now, about 7.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the La Cima market tipping in favor of buyers? With 7.86 months of inventory available today, the answer is yes. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace, calculated by dividing active homes by the average monthly closings over the rolling six-month window.
A balanced market typically hovers around four to six months. La Cima sits well above that threshold at nearly eight months. This surplus gives buyers more leverage and time to negotiate. The data supports this shift: median days on market have dropped 17.5% compared to the prior six-month period, yet remain significantly higher than the same window last year, indicating a slower pace of absorption despite recent price adjustments.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this inventory level as a buyer's market. Sellers face more competition, with 83.3% of homes selling below their original list price in the current window. While median prices have risen 14.2% from the prior period, the extended time on market suggests that pricing must be precise to attract offers quickly.
For buyers, this environment offers a wider selection and less pressure to waive contingencies. For sellers, it signals a need for realistic pricing strategies to compete in a market where inventory is accumulating faster than it is being absorbed. The shift from a seller's or balanced dynamic to a buyer's advantage is clear in the numbers.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=42 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










