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La Cima: Months of Inventory Point to Buyer Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $360,000
212 Cogitare LN, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #4122261
Listed at $339,268, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,977 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178364801/212-Cogitare-LN-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $360,000 to $450,000
222 Penstemon VW, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #6354593
Listed at $449,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,513 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188319419/222-Penstemon-VW-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $450,000 to $545,000
420 Bundleflower WAY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #3691721
Listed at $519,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,797 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186073151/420-Bundleflower-WAY-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $545,000 and up
229 Crabapple CT, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #5057066
Listed at $574,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,994 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187007435/229-Crabapple-CT-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · La Cima · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 42 homes sold in La Cima in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 30.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $466,900 (down 2.7% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $196.
- Median days on market: 66.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.3%.
- 58 homes for sale now, about 8.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is there enough supply for buyers to negotiate in La Cima? The answer is yes. With 8.3 months of inventory on the market as of October 31, 2026, the area has shifted firmly into buyer territory. This figure is calculated by dividing the current active listings by the average monthly closings over the trailing six-month period.
In a balanced market, inventory typically hovers around four to six months. Anything above that threshold favors buyers, giving them more time to find a home and negotiate terms. La Cima currently sits well above this range, indicating a surplus of homes relative to demand. This is supported by 58 active listings available today against an average of roughly five closed sales per month.
The data also shows a shift in pricing dynamics compared to the prior six-month window. Median close prices rose 14.2% to $466,900 across 42 sales, yet homes are taking longer to sell than they did a year ago, though the pace has accelerated recently with median days on market dropping 51.5% compared to the same period last year. The share of homes selling below original list price remains high at 83.3%, reinforcing the buyer advantage in this volume-driven market.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition based on the inventory-to-sales ratio, confirming that buyers currently hold the leverage in La Cima.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=42
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










