| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Kissing Tree Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-11
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $365,000
131 Ace LN # 101, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #9904313
Listed at $275,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,372 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178674956/131-Ace-LN-101-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $365,000 to $458,000
221 Sweeping Sage LN, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #9587742
Listed at $425,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,398 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188764129/221-Sweeping-Sage-LN-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $458,000 to $551,000
119 Yellowcress LN, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #5479322
Listed at $520,000, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,207 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187593249/119-Yellowcress-LN-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $551,000 and up
113 Waving Muhly DR, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #2917745
Listed at $824,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,856 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184125272/113-Waving-Muhly-DR-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · Kissing Tree · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 36 homes sold in Kissing Tree in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (up 63.6% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $481,490 (down 14.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $236.
- Median days on market: 154.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 88.5%.
- 59 homes for sale now, about 8.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Kissing Tree today? With the median sale price at $481,490 across 36 closed sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, affordability hinges on current financing costs.
ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability model using the median entry-level price and the prevailing mortgage rate of 7.18% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey dated November 5, 2026. This calculation assumes a standard 20% down payment on a 30-year fixed loan. At this rate, the principal and interest payment on a $481,490 home is approximately $2,609 per month.
The data shows that homes in Kissing Tree are selling for less than their original list prices, with 94% of sales closing below the initial asking price. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 0.885, indicating significant negotiation room compared to the prior period. However, the median days on market has stretched to 154 days, suggesting buyers have ample time to evaluate options and negotiate terms.
While the median price per square foot is $235.52, slightly lower than the prior period's $254.87, the extended time on market remains a key factor for entry-level buyers. The current inventory of 59 active listings provides a selection that has not seen the same volume of sales as previous years, with only 36 homes closing in the last six months compared to 39 in the prior window.
For those considering a buydown, a 2-1 buydown could reduce the initial rate to 5.18% for the first year, lowering the monthly payment by roughly $499, though it would cost approximately $9,048 upfront. This strategy may improve immediate cash flow for buyers facing higher rates, but the long-term affordability depends on stabilizing income against the base rate of 7.18%.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=36
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










