| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Blanco Vista Market Heat Score: A Balanced View
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-21
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $279,000
714 Stampede RD, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #6691028
Listed at $215,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,244 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183420121/714-Stampede-RD-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $279,000 to $348,000
3113 Brand Iron DR, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #4683039
Listed at $320,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,797 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184814381/3113-Brand-Iron-DR-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $348,000 to $425,000
332 Ancient Oak WAY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #7697056
Listed at $400,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,420 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183293390/332-Ancient-Oak-WAY-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $425,000 and up
746 Easton DR, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #8106419
Listed at $475,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,907 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186847936/746-Easton-DR-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · Blanco Vista · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 35 homes sold in Blanco Vista in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 25.5% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $328,000 (down 10.6% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $173.
- Median days on market: 55.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.2%.
- 28 homes for sale now, about 4.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Blanco Vista market cooling or simply stabilizing? The answer lies in a composite Heat Score that blends speed, price strength, and inventory levels.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score for Blanco Vista using a rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026. This score aggregates four key metrics: median days on market, the ratio of final sale price to original list price, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. A score near 50 indicates a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive advantage.
The data reveals a distinct shift in momentum. Median days on market dropped sharply by 53.8% compared to the prior six-month period, falling from 119 days to just 55 days across 35 closed sales. This speed suggests homes are moving faster now than they did earlier this year. However, price pressure remains evident. The median close price of $328,000 is down 11.4% from the prior period and 10.6% lower than the same window last year. Additionally, 80% of homes sold below their original list price, though this share has improved slightly compared to the previous six months.
Inventory sits at 4.54 months, a level that typically supports balanced conditions rather than a seller's frenzy or a buyer's crash. While the median price per square foot dipped 3.9% from the prior period, the faster turnover indicates underlying demand remains active despite lower headline prices. The market is not hot in terms of appreciation, but it is efficient.
Current mortgage rates stand at 7.32%, according to Freddie Mac data for the week of October 22, 2026. This rate environment continues to influence buyer behavior, with median home sizes shrinking slightly as buyers adjust to affordability constraints. The Blanco Vista Heat Score reflects a market in transition: prices are correcting while sales velocity recovers, creating a stable equilibrium for both sides.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=35
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










