San Marcos: How Rates and Prices Shape Buying Power in November

Deal of the Week

333 Trinity River HOLW, San Marcos TX 78666
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $255,000 333 Trinity River HOLW, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #3788461 Listed at $171,999, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,380 sq ft. Listed 13% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187039121/333-Trinity-River-HOLW-San-Marcos-TX Lower-middle quartile: $255,000 to $315,000 1422 Meadow PKWY, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #2849217 Listed at $260,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,774 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187243300/1422-Meadow-PKWY-San-Marcos-TX Upper-middle quartile: $315,000 to $435,000 216 Hazy View RD, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #7314242 Listed at $344,990, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,741 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182664896/216-Hazy-View-RD-San-Marcos-TX Upper quartile: $435,000 and up 226 Penstemon VW, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #3777268 Listed at $449,900, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,251 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186951420/226-Penstemon-VW-San-Marcos-TX

Key figures · San Marcos · October 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

All San Marcos market figures and ALEX agents

What does a 7.11% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in San Marcos today? With the median sale price at $267,354 across 48 closed sales in October, the monthly principal and interest payment on a standard 20% down, 30-year fixed loan is about $1,439. That figure sets the baseline for affordability before any lender credits or buydowns are applied. ALEX Intelligence modeled two common buydown scenarios to show how rate reductions affect cash flow. A 3-2-1 temporary buydown would cost $9,852 (3.69% of the median price) and lower the first-year payment to $1,035, saving $404 per month compared with the standard rate. A 2-1 buydown costs $5,004 (1.87% of the median price), reducing the first-year payment to $1,163 and saving $276 monthly. These estimates assume a 20% down payment on the median sale price and principal-and-interest only; they do not include taxes, insurance, or HOA fees. The market context matters for timing. Median days on market rose 23.3% versus the prior month to 90 days, while the median close-to-original list ratio held near 90.4%. Prices fell 20.0% from the prior month and 24.6% year over year, suggesting that rate sensitivity is influencing negotiation leverage. Buyers who can secure a buydown may stretch their monthly budget further, but the cost of the buydown must be weighed against the expected time to sell or refinance. ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal. Data source: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=48; mortgage rate from Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, 30-year fixed, week of Nov 12, 2026. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=48; mortgage rates from Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Nov 12, 2026
Cover photo: San Marcos River by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov