| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
San Marcos Inventory: Is It a Buyer's Market?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-06
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $255,000
102 Chaparral ST, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #6511599
Listed at $199,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,589 sq ft. Listed 28% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 33% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186060175/102-Chaparral-ST-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $255,000 to $315,000
104 Cypress Hills RD, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #8286918
Listed at $305,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,963 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522364/104-Cypress-Hills-RD-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $315,000 to $439,000
416 Stagecoach TRL, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #1792597
Listed at $359,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,468 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179570058/416-Stagecoach-TRL-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $439,000 and up
609 Dancing Oak LN, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #3893396
Listed at $839,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 3,398 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1155888336/609-Dancing-Oak-LN-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · San Marcos · October 2026
- 49 homes sold in San Marcos in October 2026 (down 3.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $264,719 (down 25.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $179.
- Median days on market: 92.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.4%.
- 381 homes for sale now, about 6.2 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the San Marcos housing market finally tipping in favor of buyers? The latest data shows 6.25 months of inventory based on 381 active homes for sale against 49 closed sales in October. This figure sits just above the 6-month threshold that typically signals a shift from a seller's advantage to a balanced or buyer-friendly environment.
ALEX Intelligence analyzes this supply gap by dividing current active listings by the monthly closing rate. When inventory exceeds six months, buyers generally have more negotiating power and less urgency. In San Marcos, the median days on market rose 22.7% compared to September, reaching 92 days, while the median sale price dropped 21.0% month-over-month to $264,719 across 49 closed sales.
The data indicates that homes are staying on the market longer and selling for less than their original list prices in nearly 90% of cases. While the market remains active with 381 homes currently available, the rising inventory levels suggest a cooling trend compared to the tighter conditions seen earlier this year. Buyers may find more options and leverage in negotiations as sellers adjust expectations to match current demand.
This classification relies on the standard metric where less than six months indicates a seller's market, six months is balanced, and more than six months favors buyers. With 6.25 months, San Marcos has crossed into territory where inventory accumulation is outpacing sales velocity.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, October 2026, n=49 closed; ABOR-listed sales only
Cover photo: San Marcos River by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










