| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
San Marcos: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-05
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $255,000
102 Chaparral ST, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #6511599
Listed at $199,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,589 sq ft. Listed 28% below the ALEX valuation; 30% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 33% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186060175/102-Chaparral-ST-San-Marcos-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $255,000 to $315,000
104 Cypress Hills RD, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #8286918
Listed at $305,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 1,963 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522364/104-Cypress-Hills-RD-San-Marcos-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $315,000 to $439,000
416 Stagecoach TRL, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #1792597
Listed at $359,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,468 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179570058/416-Stagecoach-TRL-San-Marcos-TX
Upper quartile: $439,000 and up
609 Dancing Oak LN, San Marcos TX 78666 · MLS #3893396
Listed at $839,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 3,398 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1155888336/609-Dancing-Oak-LN-San-Marcos-TX
Key figures · San Marcos · October 2026
- 49 homes sold in San Marcos in October 2026 (down 3.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $264,719 (down 25.0% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $179.
- Median days on market: 92.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.4%.
- 382 homes for sale now, about 6.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In San Marcos, homes sold for 90.4% of their original list price on average during October 2026. This figure, known as the list-to-sale price ratio, comes from 49 closed sales and shows that buyers and sellers are negotiating below the initial asking price in most transactions.
The median close-to-original-list ratio stood at 0.904, meaning for every dollar listed, the final sale price was roughly $0.90. This metric tracks how closely the final agreed price matches the original list price. In October, 89.8% of homes sold below their original list price, a slight decrease from the 92.2% seen in September.
Compared to October 2025, when the ratio was 0.909, the current figure is down by 0.6 percentage points. The median close price for these sales was $264,719, down 25.0% from the same month last year. While the list-to-sale ratio has remained relatively stable compared to the prior month (a 0.0% change), the overall market value has shifted significantly lower.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed this pricing dynamic across the city's closed transactions. The data indicates that while negotiation below list price remains common, the gap between asking and selling prices has not widened further in October despite the drop in median home values. This suggests a consistent buyer leverage point rather than a sudden shift in pricing behavior.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=49
Cover photo: San Marcos River by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










