| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Crosswinds Inventory Signals a Buyer's Market in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $334,000
173 Queen Topsail WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7278153
Listed at $326,508, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,353 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520026/173-Queen-Topsail-WAY-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $355,000
200 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #3087916
Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,500 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189490450/200-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $355,000 to $412,000
258 Reef Band DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9280960
Listed at $409,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,379 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184857993/258-Reef-Band-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $412,000 and up
434 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9675608
Listed at $589,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,393 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179503991/434-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Crosswinds · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 44 homes sold in Crosswinds in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 36.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $351,294 (down 6.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $179.
- Median days on market: 96.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.8%.
- 66 homes for sale now, about 8.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many months of homes are available for sale in Crosswinds right now? The answer is 8.8 months, a figure calculated by dividing the 66 active listings on the market today by the average monthly pace of 45 closed sales over the last six months. This volume signals a distinct shift toward buyer conditions.
In real estate terms, months of inventory measures the time it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales rate. A balanced market typically hovers around four to six months. When the figure rises above six, as it does here with 8.8 months, buyers gain leverage in negotiations and have more time to choose from available homes without pressure.
This inventory buildup coincides with a cooling in price growth. The median closed sale price for the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026, stands at $351,294, down 2.3% from the prior six months and 6.3% lower than the same window last year. While prices have dipped slightly, the median price per square foot has risen 1.7% compared to the prior period, suggesting that while total home values are softening, the value per unit of space remains relatively stable.
The shift is also visible in how long homes stay on the market. The median days on market increased to 96 days, up 4.3% from the prior six-month window and 7.9% higher than last year. Combined with the high inventory count, this indicates a slower pace of transactions where buyers can be more selective.
ALEX Intelligence estimates that the current supply level classifies the Crosswinds market as a buyer's market. This environment favors purchasers who are not rushing to close and can negotiate terms based on the available selection rather than competing for scarce inventory.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6-month data ending Sep 30, 2026, n=44 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










