| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Crosswinds: How Mortgage Rates Shape Buying Power Today
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-23
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $334,000
173 Queen Topsail WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7278153
Listed at $326,508, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,353 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520026/173-Queen-Topsail-WAY-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $355,000
200 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #3087916
Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,500 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189490450/200-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $355,000 to $412,000
258 Reef Band DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9280960
Listed at $409,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,379 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184857993/258-Reef-Band-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $412,000 and up
434 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9675608
Listed at $589,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,393 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179503991/434-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Crosswinds · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 44 homes sold in Crosswinds in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 36.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $351,294 (down 6.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $179.
- Median days on market: 96.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.8%.
- 64 homes for sale now, about 8.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a 7.32% mortgage rate mean for a buyer in Crosswinds today? With the median closed sale price at $351,294 across 44 homes sold in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, monthly payments are sensitive to every basis point. A standard 30-year fixed loan with 20% down on a home at this median price results in a principal and interest payment of $1,931 per month.
ALEX Intelligence modeled the impact of common lender concessions to show how buyers can manage these costs. For a buyer purchasing at the median price, a 3-2-1 buydown reduces the rate to 4.32% in year one, cutting the monthly payment by $537 and saving $6,444 in that first year. The total cost for this buydown is $13,104, or 3.73% of the sale price. A more modest 2-1 buydown costs $6,660 (1.9% of the price) and lowers the rate to 5.32% in year one, reducing the monthly payment by $367.
These figures are estimates based on the median sale price and current market rates; they are not appraisals. While the median days on market has risen to 96 days and prices have dipped 2.3% from the prior six-month period, understanding these financing tools helps buyers navigate the current landscape. The data reflects 44 closed sales where the median price per square foot was $179.
URL: https://alex.realestate/crosswinds
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=44; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, week of Oct 22, 2026
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










