| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Crosswinds Market Heat Score: A Balanced View
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $334,000
173 Queen Topsail WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7278153
Listed at $326,508, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,353 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520026/173-Queen-Topsail-WAY-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $334,000 to $355,000
200 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #3087916
Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,500 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189490450/200-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $355,000 to $412,000
258 Reef Band DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9280960
Listed at $409,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,379 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 20% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184857993/258-Reef-Band-DR-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $412,000 and up
434 Bay Breeze DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9675608
Listed at $589,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,393 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179503991/434-Bay-Breeze-DR-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Crosswinds · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 44 homes sold in Crosswinds in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 36.2% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $351,294 (down 6.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $179.
- Median days on market: 96.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.8%.
- 61 homes for sale now, about 8.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the Crosswinds market cooling down? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for this master-planned community sits at 42 out of 100 based on a composite index weighing days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions. This score reflects a shift toward a more balanced environment compared to the tighter conditions seen in previous years.
The analysis draws from 44 closed sales over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026. Median days on market have stretched to 96 days, up 7.9% from the same window last year and 4.3% higher than the prior six-month period. Simultaneously, the median close-to-original list ratio stands at 0.918, indicating that homes are selling for slightly less than their original asking prices compared to the 0.924 ratio recorded a year ago.
Inventory pressure is evident with 61 active listings currently on the market, resulting in 8.13 months of supply. This level of inventory suggests buyers have more selection and negotiating leverage. While the median price per square foot rose slightly to $179, the overall median close price dipped 6.3% year-over-year to $351,294. The heat score calculation combines these factors to provide a single metric representing current market dynamics without predicting future direction.
Current mortgage rates stand at 7.32% according to Freddie Mac data for the week of October 22, 2026. This rate environment influences buyer purchasing power and contributes to the extended time homes spend on the market before closing. The score serves as a snapshot of current conditions rather than a forecast of where prices or activity will move next.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=44 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










