| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
6 Creeks Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-14
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $450,000
159 Coyote Creek WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9837073
Listed at $425,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,388 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191872661/159-Coyote-Creek-WAY-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $450,000 to $496,000
533 Prickly Poppy LOOP, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #9080005
Listed at $469,990, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,713 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179413565/533-Prickly-Poppy-LOOP-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $496,000 to $580,000
283 Painted Creek WAY, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4749015
Listed at $525,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,895 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177437477/283-Painted-Creek-WAY-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $580,000 and up
133 Bedford RUN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7549645
Listed at $599,900, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,895 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 21% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184916117/133-Bedford-RUN-Kyle-TX
Key figures · 6 Creeks · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 80 homes sold in 6 Creeks in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 23.8% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $488,140 (down 9.3% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $193.
- Median days on market: 126.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.
- 78 homes for sale now, about 5.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it cost to buy an entry-level home in 6 Creeks right now? The bottom quartile of sales in the rolling six months ended Oct 31, 2026, represents the most affordable tier available in this Kyle subdivision over the last half-year. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing for this segment across 80 closed sales to determine current affordability conditions.
ALEX Intelligence calculated affordability by applying current mortgage conditions to the entry-level price point. With a 7.11% rate on a 30-year fixed loan, the principal-and-interest payment for a median-priced home is $2,627 per month. This baseline helps buyers compare their monthly budget against the actual cost of ownership in this market segment.
The data shows that while prices have softened compared to last year, affordability remains sensitive to rate movements. The median close price is 9.3% lower than the same period last year, yet the higher interest rate increases the monthly payment burden relative to income. Buyers focusing on the bottom quartile should note that 80 sales in this tier provide a stable view of current conditions, though inventory remains tight with only 78 active listings today.
For those considering new construction, which accounts for 48 of the 80 closed sales in this window, entry-level pricing may vary by phase and incentives. The median price per square foot for these homes is $193, reflecting a slight year-over-year decline of 5.5%. Understanding these figures allows buyers to gauge whether waiting for lower rates or negotiating concessions offers better value in the current environment.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=80; mortgage rate from Freddie Mac, week of Nov 12, 2026.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










