6 Creeks Inventory Signals a Balanced Market

Is the 6 Creeks housing market finally balancing out after a period of high prices? With 5.56 months of inventory on hand as of late September, the answer is yes. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace, placing the market firmly in balanced territory rather than favoring buyers or sellers exclusively. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply and demand dynamics using a rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026, covering 81 closed sales. The data shows that while inventory levels have stabilized, price pressure remains evident. The median close price dropped to $490,476, which is 10.8% lower than the same period last year when prices stood at $549,900. This decline coincides with a significant increase in the share of homes selling below their original list price, rising from 78.2% to 93.8%. The shift is also visible in how quickly homes are moving. The median days on market fell to 104 days, down 25.7% from the prior six-month period, suggesting that while prices have adjusted, demand remains active for well-priced properties. However, with 76 active listings and a steady pace of closings, neither side holds a distinct advantage. Buyers now have more negotiating power, but sellers must price competitively to avoid lingering on the market. This balanced state offers a unique opportunity for both parties. For buyers, the combination of lower prices and increased inventory provides more choices and room for negotiation. For sellers, understanding that 93.8% of homes sold below list price highlights the necessity of accurate initial pricing strategies. The market is no longer defined by bidding wars but by realistic valuations aligned with current economic conditions. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog