| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Kyle: How List-to-Sale Ratios Shifted in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-05
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $268,000
312 Sickle LOOP, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #6792806
Listed at $260,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,327 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 32% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188724097/312-Sickle-LOOP-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $268,000 to $319,000
124 Greenbelt Reservoir PASS, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #5314966
Listed at $278,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,701 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177360627/124-Greenbelt-Reservoir-PASS-Kyle-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $319,000 to $385,000
288 Caddo BND, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #2744885
Listed at $320,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,501 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184529142/288-Caddo-BND-Kyle-TX
Upper quartile: $385,000 and up
474 Heidenreich LN, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7390736
Listed at $624,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,680 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 69% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1164460160/474-Heidenreich-LN-Kyle-TX
Key figures · Kyle · October 2026
- 99 homes sold in Kyle in October 2026 (down 2.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $294,867 (down 3.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $162.
- Median days on market: 84.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.9%.
- 536 homes for sale now, about 4.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Kyle, buyers are now closing deals at an average of 90.9% of the original asking price, down from 94.8% in September. This shift marks a significant change in negotiation power over the last month. The median list-to-sale price ratio, which compares the final contract price to the initial listing price, has dropped by 4.1% compared to the prior period and is 3.6% lower than it was this time last year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics across 99 closed sales in October to track how offers landed relative to asking prices. The data shows that 88.9% of homes sold for less than their original list price, a slight increase from the previous month. While the median sale price dipped 2.0% to $294,867, the shrinking ratio indicates that sellers are accepting lower offers more frequently than before.
This trend suggests a cooling in bidding wars or a shift toward more conservative pricing strategies by sellers. The median days on market also rose sharply by 47.4% to 84 days, giving buyers more time to negotiate. As inventory levels adjust, the gap between what homes are listed for and what they actually sell for continues to widen, reflecting a market where price reductions are becoming a standard part of the transaction process.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=99
Cover photo: Kyle ("Kyle Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










