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Big Sky Ranch Market Heat Score: What the Data Says
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-26
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $401,000
324 Delaware Mountains TER, Dripping Springs TX 78620 · MLS #4015463
Listed at $363,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,884 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518631/324-Delaware-Mountains-TER-Dripping-Springs-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $401,000 to $455,000
159 Mount Locke RD, Dripping Springs TX 78620 · MLS #5906325
Listed at $410,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,867 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189541915/159-Mount-Locke-RD-Dripping-Springs-TX
Upper quartile: $532,000 and up
233 Bush Mountain CV, Dripping Springs TX 78620 · MLS #4175911
Listed at $574,990, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,291 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 1% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186975083/233-Bush-Mountain-CV-Dripping-Springs-TX
Key figures · Big Sky Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 45 homes sold in Big Sky Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 136.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $470,000 (up 24.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 35.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.8%.
- 11 homes for sale now, about 1.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Big Sky Ranch is showing strong momentum driven by a composite Market Heat Score calculated from four key indicators. This index weighs median days on market, the close-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the share of listings with price reductions to gauge current market conditions.
Over the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026, the community saw 45 closed sales with a median price of $470,000. This represents a 24.5% increase compared to the same period last year when only 19 homes sold for a median of $377,500. The speed of transactions has also accelerated significantly; the median days on market dropped to 35 days, down 34% from 53 days a year ago.
Buyers are currently competing more aggressively than in previous years. Homes are selling at 95.8% of their original list price, up from 93.7% last year, while the share of sales closing below the original list price fell to 82.2%. Inventory remains tight with only 11 active listings and a calculated months of supply of 1.47, indicating a seller-favorable environment.
ALEX Intelligence derived this score by normalizing these four metrics against historical baselines for the region. The high score reflects a market where demand outpaces supply, driving prices up and reducing the time properties remain on the market. This data-driven assessment provides a clear snapshot of current activity without projecting future trends.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=45 closed sales
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










