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Big Sky Ranch: How Close to List Price Did Homes Sell?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-21
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $401,000
324 Delaware Mountains TER, Dripping Springs TX 78620 · MLS #4015463
Listed at $363,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,884 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 21% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518631/324-Delaware-Mountains-TER-Dripping-Springs-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $401,000 to $455,000
159 Mount Locke RD, Dripping Springs TX 78620 · MLS #5906325
Listed at $410,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,867 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189541915/159-Mount-Locke-RD-Dripping-Springs-TX
Upper quartile: $532,000 and up
233 Bush Mountain CV, Dripping Springs TX 78620 · MLS #4175911
Listed at $574,990, 5 bed, 4 bath, 3,291 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 1% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186975083/233-Bush-Mountain-CV-Dripping-Springs-TX
Key figures · Big Sky Ranch · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 45 homes sold in Big Sky Ranch in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 136.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $470,000 (up 24.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 35.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.8%.
- 11 homes for sale now, about 1.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Big Sky Ranch, homes are closing closer to their original list prices than they did a year ago. The median close-to-original list ratio reached 95.8% across 45 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. This metric compares the final sale price to the initial asking price, showing how much negotiation occurred before the deal closed.
This figure represents a 2.4% increase compared to the prior six-month period and a 2.2% improvement over the same window last year. While the median close-to-list ratio improved, the share of homes selling below their original list price dropped significantly. Only 82.2% of sales fell under the initial list price in this period, down from 93.1% previously and 89.5% a year ago.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed these trends to determine pricing behavior in the community. The median sale price rose 7.6% from the prior six-month window and jumped 24.5% compared to the same period last year, reaching $470,000. Meanwhile, the median price per square foot decreased by 9.0% over the prior period, suggesting larger homes are selling more frequently.
The data indicates a shift in market dynamics where sellers are retaining more of their asking price. With 45 closed sales providing a robust sample size, this trend reflects current buyer and seller expectations in Big Sky Ranch. The improvement in the close-to-list ratio suggests that properties are being priced more accurately from the start or that demand is supporting the initial list values more strongly than before.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=45
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










