| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Sunfield: Months of Inventory Signal a Buyer's Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $338,000
127 Bayou Mint BLVD, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1274760
Listed at $299,050, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,727 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183015991/127-Bayou-Mint-BLVD-Buda-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $338,000 to $380,000
165 Satsuma DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9158316
Listed at $354,999, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,846 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177965874/165-Satsuma-DR-Buda-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $380,000 to $440,000
486 Pond View PASS, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1671281
Listed at $425,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,586 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182525040/486-Pond-View-PASS-Buda-TX
Upper quartile: $440,000 and up
359 Grey Leaf RD, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9051882
Listed at $475,633, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,575 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177475028/359-Grey-Leaf-RD-Buda-TX
Key figures · Sunfield · September 2026
- 27 homes sold in Sunfield in September 2026 (up 35.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $346,975 (down 14.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 57.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 115 homes for sale now, about 5.3 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the market for new homes in Sunfield shifting in favor of buyers? The latest data suggests a clear transition. With 5.3 months of inventory available as of late September, the market has moved beyond the balanced threshold typically seen at six months or less, indicating increased leverage for purchasers.
This shift coincides with a notable cooling in prices. Median closed sales dropped to $346,975, down 10.4% from August and 14.9% lower than September of last year. While the median price per square foot rose slightly by 5.8% compared to the prior month, the overall volume of sales remained flat at 27 closed transactions, matching the previous month but falling short of the 30 seen in August.
Homes are also taking longer to sell. The median days on market climbed to 57 days, a 50% increase from the 38 days recorded in August, though this remains 25% faster than the 76 days seen last September. Sellers are still negotiating below their original list prices, with 92.6% of homes closing under the initial asking price.
ALEX Intelligence classifies a market as favoring buyers when inventory exceeds six months and sellers when it is below four; Sunfield sits in the middle, leaning toward buyer conditions. With 115 active listings against a monthly absorption rate of roughly five sales, prospective buyers have more selection than they did just three months ago.
The data reflects a market adjusting to higher interest rates and seasonal slowdowns. While prices remain lower than last year's peaks, the rising inventory suggests that waiting or negotiating may yield better results for those looking to purchase in this master-planned community.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, September 2026, n=27
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










