| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Sunfield: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-20
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $338,000
127 Bayou Mint BLVD, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1274760
Listed at $299,050, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,727 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 7% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183015991/127-Bayou-Mint-BLVD-Buda-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $338,000 to $380,000
165 Satsuma DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9158316
Listed at $354,999, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,846 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177965874/165-Satsuma-DR-Buda-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $380,000 to $440,000
486 Pond View PASS, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1671281
Listed at $425,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,586 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182525040/486-Pond-View-PASS-Buda-TX
Upper quartile: $440,000 and up
359 Grey Leaf RD, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #9051882
Listed at $475,633, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,575 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177475028/359-Grey-Leaf-RD-Buda-TX
Key figures · Sunfield · September 2026
- 27 homes sold in Sunfield in September 2026 (up 35.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $346,975 (down 14.9% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 57.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.
- 117 homes for sale now, about 5.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Sunfield, the gap between asking and selling prices widened slightly in September as median home prices fell to $346,975 from $387,260 a month prior. Across 27 closed sales, homes sold for an average of 95.6% of their original list price, down from 95.9% in August and up slightly from 93.1% last September. This metric, known as the list-to-sale ratio, measures how close the final contract price is to the initial asking price.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing trends for these 27 transactions to determine buyer leverage. While 92.6% of homes sold below their original list price, the average cut size remained consistent with recent months. The median price per square foot rose to $182, a 5.8% increase from August, even as the overall median price declined by 10.4%.
The market dynamics show that while buyers are negotiating lower final prices, the value per square foot is holding steady. With 27 closed sales in September, the data provides a clear view of current pricing behavior. The list-to-sale ratio serves as a key indicator of whether sellers are meeting buyer expectations or if homes are requiring significant price reductions to move.
Current mortgage rates stand at 7.32% according to Freddie Mac data for the week of October 22, 2026. This rate environment influences how much buyers can afford and often impacts the final negotiation range. A 3-2-1 buydown on a median-priced home would cost approximately $12,924, reducing the initial monthly payment by $530 in the first year.
The data reflects a market where price adjustments are becoming more common, yet homes continue to sell at rates close to their original listings. This suggests that while prices are correcting, well-priced inventory still attracts competitive offers.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=27
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










