Buda Market Heat Score: What the Data Shows in September

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 259 Clarence CT, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #4891291 · Listed by Keller Williams Realty. ALEX valuation $339,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score: 1. 259 Clarence CT, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #4891291 Listed at $264,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,955 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 28% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184168883/259-Clarence-CT-Buda-TX 2. 325 San Saba DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3542737 Listed at $499,999, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,512 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180665075/325-San-Saba-DR-Buda-TX 3. 139 Comfort DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #2040843 Listed at $489,999, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,180 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177968034/139-Comfort-DR-Buda-TX 4. 287 San Saba DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #4266849 Listed at $549,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,855 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1167998194/287-San-Saba-DR-Buda-TX 5. 13216 Desert Orchid DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #6720075 Listed at $239,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,375 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183701244/13216-Desert-Orchid-DR-Buda-TX

Is a cooling price trend masking underlying demand in Buda? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for September stands at 62 out of 100, calculated using a composite index that weights days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions. This score reflects a shift where sales volume dipped slightly while homes continued to move with surprising speed relative to the broader region. In September, 95 homes closed at a median price of $335,000, down 9.7% from August but just 1.5% below the same month last year. The market absorbed inventory efficiently, with the median days on market dropping to 46 days, a 17.9% improvement over September 2025. Despite the price correction, 85.3% of homes sold below their original list price, indicating that while buyers have leverage, sellers are still moving units without waiting months for offers. The composite index balances these competing signals: lower prices and higher inventory (nearly 5 months of supply) pull the score down, but faster sales velocity and a stable close-to-list ratio keep it in moderate territory. A score of 62 suggests a balanced market leaning slightly toward buyers, where negotiation is possible but urgency remains for well-priced properties. This data-driven assessment replaces speculation with a clear view of current market dynamics based on 95 closed transactions. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951