Belterra Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check for November

Deal of the Week

281 Kensington LN, Austin TX 78737
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $567,000 281 Kensington LN, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3541731 Listed at $529,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,400 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 25% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186975589/281-Kensington-LN-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $567,000 to $670,000 266 Village Oak DR, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #6614371 Listed at $615,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,601 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187697650/266-Village-Oak-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $670,000 to $799,000 953 Catalina LN, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3510399 Listed at $795,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,604 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 25% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190613487/953-Catalina-LN-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $799,000 and up 366 Mirafield LN, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #7241975 Listed at $875,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,975 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184694694/366-Mirafield-LN-Austin-TX

Key figures · Belterra · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Belterra today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales stands at $690,650 across 56 closed sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This figure represents the affordability threshold for buyers entering this market segment. ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability index using current financing terms to evaluate buying power. With a median sale price of $690,650 and a 7.18% interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage, a buyer putting 20% down faces a principal and interest payment of $3,743 per month. This calculation assumes standard financing and excludes taxes or insurance. The market shows resilience despite higher rates. Median days on market have dropped to 18 days, a 25% improvement over the prior six-month period, indicating that entry-level homes are moving quickly. However, the median price is down 4.7% compared to the same window last year, suggesting some price adjustment has occurred. Buyers should note that 69.6% of these sales closed below the original list price, reflecting a market where negotiation remains relevant. The average home size in this tier is 2,866 square feet, up slightly from the prior period. While rates remain elevated, the combination of lower prices and faster turnover creates a specific window for qualified buyers to secure entry-level inventory in Belterra. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC
Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=56; mortgage rate from Freddie Mac, week of Nov 5, 2026.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov