| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Belterra: 1.5 Months of Inventory Signals Seller's Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-31
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $573,000
281 Kensington LN, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3541731
Listed at $529,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,400 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 25% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186975589/281-Kensington-LN-Austin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $573,000 to $670,000
13728 Mesa Verde DR, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3287623
Listed at $649,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,017 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 27% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184258396/13728-Mesa-Verde-DR-Austin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $670,000 to $800,000
170 Kinloch CT, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #4893911
Listed at $765,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,768 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 31% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184604430/170-Kinloch-CT-Austin-TX
Upper quartile: $800,000 and up
560 Aspen DR, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3765340
Listed at $1,129,500, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,613 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186164532/560-Aspen-DR-Austin-TX
Key figures · Belterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 60 homes sold in Belterra in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 11.1% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $680,000 (down 2.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $237.
- Median days on market: 14.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 98.0%.
- 15 homes for sale now, about 1.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How many months of housing supply does it take to shift power from buyers to sellers? In Belterra, the answer is just under one and a half months. With only 15 active listings against 61 homes sold in the trailing six-month window, the market holds 1.48 months of inventory. This figure places Belterra firmly in seller territory, where demand consistently outpaces available stock.
ALEX Intelligence calculates this balance by dividing current active listings by the average monthly sales rate. A reading below two months typically indicates a competitive environment where buyers face limited choices and faster decision times. The data confirms this dynamic: median days on market have dropped to 14 days, down 39% from the prior six-month period and nearly half of what it was a year ago.
Prices remain resilient despite seasonal fluctuations. The median sale price reached $680,000, up 3% from the previous six months, though still slightly below the same period last year. With 65% of homes selling below their original list price compared to 74% previously, negotiation leverage is shifting toward sellers as properties move more quickly.
This tight supply environment suggests that for sellers in Belterra, listing now offers a distinct advantage. For buyers, securing a home requires speed and readiness, as the window to negotiate on price continues to narrow. The market remains active with 60 closed sales, proving that demand is strong even as inventory stays low.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=60
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










