Belterra Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check

Deal of the Week

281 Kensington LN, Austin TX 78737
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $573,000 281 Kensington LN, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3541731 Listed at $529,900, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,400 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 25% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186975589/281-Kensington-LN-Austin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $573,000 to $670,000 13728 Mesa Verde DR, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3287623 Listed at $649,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,017 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 27% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184258396/13728-Mesa-Verde-DR-Austin-TX Upper-middle quartile: $670,000 to $800,000 170 Kinloch CT, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #4893911 Listed at $765,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,768 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 31% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184604430/170-Kinloch-CT-Austin-TX Upper quartile: $800,000 and up 560 Aspen DR, Austin TX 78737 · MLS #3765340 Listed at $1,129,500, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,613 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186164532/560-Aspen-DR-Austin-TX

Key figures · Belterra · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

What does it take to afford a home in Belterra today? With the median closed price at $680,000 across 60 sales over the last six months, entry-level buyers face significant monthly costs even with current mortgage rates. ALEX Intelligence analyzed affordability using the median sale price of $680,000 and a prevailing 30-year fixed rate of 7.32% from the week of October 22, 2026. The data indicates a loan amount of $544,000 with principal and interest totaling $3,737 per month. This figure represents the baseline cost for buyers entering the market at the median price point. For those seeking to lower their initial payments, buydowns offer a structured path. A common 3-2-1 buydown reduces the rate to 4.32% in the first year, cutting the monthly payment by $1,039. However, this strategy requires an upfront investment of $25,332 to fund the interest reduction over three years. Alternatively, a 2-1 buydown costs $12,864 and lowers the rate to 5.32% in year one. While the median home size has grown slightly to 2,914 square feet, the price per square foot remains steady at $237. Buyers must weigh the immediate cash flow relief of a buydown against the total cost of the purchase. The data shows that while homes are selling faster with a median of 14 days on market, affordability remains the primary constraint for entry-level shoppers in this community. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club.
Partner, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al.
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Source data: Unlock MLS rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=60
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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