Hays County Inventory Signals a Balanced Market in September

Deal of the Week

183 Seabreeze ST, Kyle TX 78640
Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $286,000 183 Seabreeze ST, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4348603 Listed at $276,499, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,060 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185761569/183-Seabreeze-ST-Kyle-TX Lower-middle quartile: $286,000 to $375,000 219 Mad Pupper DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1829550 Listed at $299,015, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,876 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188156611/219-Mad-Pupper-DR-Buda-TX Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $555,000 358 Callahan LOOP, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #8242472 Listed at $455,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,790 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517588/358-Callahan-LOOP-Buda-TX Upper quartile: $555,000 and up 2100 Onion Creek BND, Driftwood TX 78619 · MLS #8227183 Listed at $1,099,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,263 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184566597/2100-Onion-Creek-BND-Driftwood-TX

Key figures · Hays County · September 2026

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Market figures by town

Is the market tipping toward buyers or sellers? In Hays County, the answer lies in the months of inventory gauge. With 1,940 active listings and 322 homes closing in September, the market holds 4.86 months of supply. This figure places the county squarely in balanced territory, where neither side holds a distinct advantage over the other. Months of inventory measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. A reading below four months typically favors sellers, while above six months favors buyers. Hays County has held steady near this balance point for several months, with 4.86 months available as of late September. This stability contrasts with the recent price action, where the median sale price rose to $372,495, a 4.9% increase from August and a 2.1% gain over last year. The supply gap remains tight enough to support prices despite a 24.6% drop in sales volume compared to August. Buyers are finding options across the county, with subdivisions like Sunfield and Waterstone showing strong activity. However, the 56 days on market indicates that homes are not moving as quickly as they did earlier in the year. ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition as balanced based on the inventory-to-sales ratio. For sellers, this means pricing must remain competitive to attract buyers in a stable environment. For buyers, it suggests there is room to negotiate without the urgency of a seller's market, though limited inventory keeps competition present for well-priced homes. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
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Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=322
Cover photo: Blanco River, Hays County ("Hays - Hill Country 1") by CMBJ, CC BY-SA 2.5, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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