| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| MIT, Nvidia, Google, AWS & IBM-Trained. Cross-Domain Expert. Castor Venture Club. |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et al. |
| Texas License #574878-B · Texas Broker License #565194-BB |
| Broker · North Carolina License #367733 |
| Independent Broker · Colorado License #II.100112456 |
| Broker · Alabama License #000178406 |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| Join any of our 46 LinkedIn Groups spanning Quantum, AI and Tennessee to Texas. |
| Follow one or all of our 106 greater Austin communities, cities and counties on our Blog. |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Hays County Inventory Signals a Balanced Market in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-27
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $286,000
183 Seabreeze ST, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #4348603
Listed at $276,499, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,060 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185761569/183-Seabreeze-ST-Kyle-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $286,000 to $375,000
219 Mad Pupper DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #1829550
Listed at $299,015, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,876 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188156611/219-Mad-Pupper-DR-Buda-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $555,000
358 Callahan LOOP, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #8242472
Listed at $455,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,790 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517588/358-Callahan-LOOP-Buda-TX
Upper quartile: $555,000 and up
2100 Onion Creek BND, Driftwood TX 78619 · MLS #8227183
Listed at $1,099,900, 5 bed, 4.5 bath, 4,263 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184566597/2100-Onion-Creek-BND-Driftwood-TX
Key figures · Hays County · September 2026
- 322 homes sold in Hays County in September 2026 (down 22.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $372,495 (up 2.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $185.
- Median days on market: 56.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.4%.
- 1,940 homes for sale now, about 4.9 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Is the market tipping toward buyers or sellers? In Hays County, the answer lies in the months of inventory gauge. With 1,940 active listings and 322 homes closing in September, the market holds 4.86 months of supply. This figure places the county squarely in balanced territory, where neither side holds a distinct advantage over the other.
Months of inventory measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. A reading below four months typically favors sellers, while above six months favors buyers. Hays County has held steady near this balance point for several months, with 4.86 months available as of late September. This stability contrasts with the recent price action, where the median sale price rose to $372,495, a 4.9% increase from August and a 2.1% gain over last year.
The supply gap remains tight enough to support prices despite a 24.6% drop in sales volume compared to August. Buyers are finding options across the county, with subdivisions like Sunfield and Waterstone showing strong activity. However, the 56 days on market indicates that homes are not moving as quickly as they did earlier in the year.
ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition as balanced based on the inventory-to-sales ratio. For sellers, this means pricing must remain competitive to attract buyers in a stable environment. For buyers, it suggests there is room to negotiate without the urgency of a seller's market, though limited inventory keeps competition present for well-priced homes.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=322
Cover photo: Blanco River, Hays County ("Hays - Hill Country 1") by CMBJ, CC BY-SA 2.5, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










