Guadalupe County Market Heat Score: A Balanced View

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 210 E Cedar ST, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #3358489 · Listed by Land Up Realty & Investments. ALEX valuation $225,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $249,000 210 E Cedar ST, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #3358489 Listed at $224,900, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,597 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187897471/210-E-Cedar-ST-Seguin-TX Lower-middle quartile: $249,000 to $320,000 438 KAYDEN PT, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #4955453 Listed at $310,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,816 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187138966/438-KAYDEN-PT-New-Braunfels-TX Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $420,000 520 Brook Shadow, Cibolo TX 78108 · MLS #6698717 Listed at $350,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,426 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 29% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187803693/520-Brook-Shadow-Cibolo-TX Upper quartile: $420,000 and up 882 Cottonseed RUN, Martindale TX 78655 · MLS #3123507 Listed at $1,400,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 4,260 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190729047/882-Cottonseed-RUN-Martindale-TX

Key figures · Guadalupe County · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026

86 homes sold in Guadalupe County in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 21.8% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $330,750 (up 14.1% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $163.

Median days on market: 58.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.8%.

107 homes for sale now, about 7.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Guadalupe County is currently operating as a balanced market with a slight tilt toward buyers, according to the ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score. This composite index, calculated from days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions, places the county in the middle range of activity for this period. The data shows 86 closed sales over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, with a median close price of $330,750. This represents a 4.4% increase compared to the prior six-month period and a 14.1% rise year-over-year. However, the market is not heating up rapidly; homes are taking a median of 58 days to sell, which matches the previous period but is significantly faster than the 77 days seen a year ago. Inventory remains a key factor, with 107 active listings creating a 7.47-month supply of homes. This level of stock suggests that while prices are rising, buyers still have choices. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 94.8%, indicating that most sellers are accepting offers slightly below their initial asking price. Additionally, 74.4% of sales closed below the original list price, a figure that has improved by 10.7 percentage points compared to the prior period but remains higher than the 81.8% seen a year ago. ALEX Intelligence estimates this heat score based on these weighted factors to provide a clear snapshot of current market conditions without projecting future trends. The combination of rising prices and stable inventory defines the current landscape for buyers and sellers in Guadalupe County. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Coverage: most home sales in Guadalupe County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC

Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

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