| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Guadalupe County Entry-Level Homes: Can Buyers Afford Them?
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-01
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $248,000
2941 Field VW, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #8276737
Listed at $239,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,643 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189655833/2941-Field-VW-New-Braunfels-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $248,000 to $317,000
216 Deer Crest DR, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #9110562
Listed at $293,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,674 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190884459/216-Deer-Crest-DR-New-Braunfels-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $317,000 to $420,000
3725 Pin Oak HLS, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #8822560
Listed at $335,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,810 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1168964458/3725-Pin-Oak-HLS-Seguin-TX
Upper quartile: $420,000 and up
260 Long Creek BLVD, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #5239493
Listed at $549,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,096 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190413587/260-Long-Creek-BLVD-New-Braunfels-TX
Key figures · Guadalupe County · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 86 homes sold in Guadalupe County in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 21.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $330,750 (up 14.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $163.
- Median days on market: 58.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.8%.
- 108 homes for sale now, about 7.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Can buyers afford homes in Guadalupe County today? The median price for entry-level properties (the bottom quartile) sits at $330,750 across 86 closed sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This represents a 4.4% increase from the prior six-month period and a 14.1% rise compared to the same window last year.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed current mortgage rates of 7.24% (Freddie Mac, week of Oct 29, 2026) against these prices to determine affordability. For a buyer purchasing an entry-level home with a standard down payment, the principal and interest payment at the current rate is approximately $1,803 per month.
Buyers can lower this monthly burden using buydowns. A standard 3-2-1 buydown would cost roughly $12,276 (3.71% of the price) to reduce the rate in year one, saving about $503 monthly initially. A 2-1 buydown costs approximately $6,240 (1.89% of the price), dropping the rate for the first year and saving $344 monthly.
Despite rising prices, the market remains balanced with 7.5 months of inventory. The median home size has grown to 2,034 square feet, up 7.9% from the prior period, suggesting buyers are getting more space even as costs rise.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Guadalupe County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=86
Cover photo: Guadalupe River ("14-03-28, guadalupe river - panoramio") by David Dugan, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










