| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Guadalupe County Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-29
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $248,000
2941 Field VW, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #8276737
Listed at $239,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,643 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189655833/2941-Field-VW-New-Braunfels-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $248,000 to $317,000
216 Deer Crest DR, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #9110562
Listed at $293,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,674 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190884459/216-Deer-Crest-DR-New-Braunfels-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $317,000 to $420,000
3725 Pin Oak HLS, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #8822560
Listed at $335,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,810 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1168964458/3725-Pin-Oak-HLS-Seguin-TX
Upper quartile: $420,000 and up
260 Long Creek BLVD, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #5239493
Listed at $549,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,096 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190413587/260-Long-Creek-BLVD-New-Braunfels-TX
Key figures · Guadalupe County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 87 homes sold in Guadalupe County in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 26.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $320,000 (up 8.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $167.
- Median days on market: 43.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.4%.
- 107 homes for sale now, about 7.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Guadalupe County today? The median price for the bottom quartile of sales sits at $320,000 across 87 closed transactions in the rolling six months ending September 30, 2026. This figure represents the most accessible tier of the market, yet current financing costs significantly impact monthly affordability.
ALEX Intelligence applied a payment-to-price affordability model using the median entry-level price and the prevailing mortgage rate of 7.32% from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey dated October 22, 2026. The data indicates a loan amount of $256,000 for this price point, resulting in a principal and interest payment of approximately $1,759 per month. This calculation excludes taxes and insurance but highlights the baseline cost of ownership at current rates.
The data shows that while prices for entry-level homes have risen 8.5% compared to the same period last year, the number of sales in this tier has fluctuated. The median price per square foot for these homes is $167, which matches the county-wide average and reflects the specific characteristics of the entry-level inventory. Buyers looking at this segment must weigh the higher monthly payments against the potential for appreciation and the limited supply of homes under the luxury threshold of $685,000.
With 107 active listings today and a median days on market of 43, competition remains moderate. However, the affordability index suggests that buyers in this price range need to be prepared for higher carrying costs than in previous years. The market is currently balanced between supply and demand for these specific properties, but the rate environment remains the primary constraint on purchasing power.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Guadalupe County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=87
Cover photo: Guadalupe River ("14-03-28, guadalupe river - panoramio") by David Dugan, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










