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Guadalupe County: List-to-Sale Ratios Rise in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-22
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $248,000
2941 Field VW, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #8276737
Listed at $239,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,643 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189655833/2941-Field-VW-New-Braunfels-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $248,000 to $317,000
216 Deer Crest DR, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #9110562
Listed at $293,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,674 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190884459/216-Deer-Crest-DR-New-Braunfels-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $317,000 to $420,000
3725 Pin Oak HLS, Seguin TX 78155 · MLS #8822560
Listed at $335,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,810 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1168964458/3725-Pin-Oak-HLS-Seguin-TX
Upper quartile: $420,000 and up
260 Long Creek BLVD, New Braunfels TX 78130 · MLS #5239493
Listed at $549,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,096 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190413587/260-Long-Creek-BLVD-New-Braunfels-TX
Key figures · Guadalupe County · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 87 homes sold in Guadalupe County in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 26.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $320,000 (up 8.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $167.
- Median days on market: 43.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.4%.
- 115 homes for sale now, about 7.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Guadalupe County, buyers are closing deals at a higher percentage of the original asking price than they did six months ago. The median list-to-sale price ratio reached 95.4% in the rolling six-month period ending September 30, up from 94.4% in the prior six months. This metric compares the final sale price to the initial listing price, showing how much of the original ask sellers are retaining on average.
Across 87 closed sales, the median close price rose 1.2% to $320,000 compared to the previous six-month window. The share of homes selling below their original list price dropped significantly, falling from 86.7% to 71.3%. This shift indicates that fewer properties are requiring price reductions to find a buyer.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing dynamics across these transactions to track how negotiation leverage has shifted. While the median price per square foot increased by 4.4% to $167, the market remains distinct from the broader region where the ratio sits at 94.1%. The data reflects a period where sellers are retaining more of their initial valuation compared to the prior half-year.
The analysis covers ABOR-listed sales only and does not represent the entire local market.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Guadalupe County are listed in another MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=87
Cover photo: Guadalupe River ("14-03-28, guadalupe river - panoramio") by David Dugan, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










