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Fredericksburg Home Sizes Shrink in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-26
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $422,000
5386 Ranch Road 1376 # 79, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #7235162
Listed at $415,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 390 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176920251/5386-Ranch-Road-1376-79-Fredericksburg-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $422,000 to $595,000
237 Dudley WAY, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #3424599
Listed at $440,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,648 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 2% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182960215/237-Dudley-WAY-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $595,000 to $1,170,000
501 W Creek ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #8680825
Listed at $625,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,751 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 29% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184637618/501-W-Creek-ST-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper quartile: $1,170,000 and up
405 Frederick RD, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6531599
Listed at $1,950,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 5,032 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187090492/405-Frederick-RD-Fredericksburg-TX
Key figures · Fredericksburg · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 38 homes sold in Fredericksburg in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 18.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $577,500 (down 26.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $286.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.9%.
- 69 homes for sale now, about 10.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The median home size sold in Fredericksburg has shrunk to 1,870 square feet over the last six months, down from 2,211 square feet in the prior six-month period. This shift reflects a change in what buyers are closing on, with ALEX Intelligence analyzing 38 closed sales to track the trend.
The data shows a clear contraction in living area. The median home size is now 15.4% smaller than it was in the previous rolling window and 17.4% smaller than the same period last year. While the number of homes sold increased from 27 to 38, the average footprint has decreased significantly.
This trend suggests a move toward more compact properties or a shift in inventory availability. The median price per square foot also fell by 18.5% compared to the prior period, dropping to $286. This indicates that while homes are getting smaller, the price per unit of space is also adjusting downward relative to earlier trends.
The analysis covers all closed sales in the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026. The sample size of 38 transactions provides a reliable view of current market behavior for this specific metric. As inventory dynamics shift, home sizes continue to evolve alongside price and demand factors.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Fredericksburg are listed in the Central Hill Country MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=38
Cover photo: Willow City Loop, Gillespie County ("Fredericksburg in the Texas Hill Country") by David, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










