| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Fayette County Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $213,000
658 E Milam ST, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #8087714
Listed at $139,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,856 sq ft. Listed 17% below the ALEX valuation; 60% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1191502757/658-E-Milam-ST-La-Grange-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $213,000 to $320,000
406 N Main ST, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #4330978
Listed at $280,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 2,284 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 34% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190279900/406-N-Main-ST-La-Grange-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $320,000 to $549,000
502 Upton Ave, Schulenburg TX 78956 · MLS #6026607
Listed at $347,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,292 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 18% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178512194/502-Upton-Ave-Schulenburg-TX
Upper quartile: $549,000 and up
350 N Madison ST, La Grange TX 78945 · MLS #9882684
Listed at $785,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 3,972 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183314940/350-N-Madison-ST-La-Grange-TX
Key figures · Fayette County · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 37 homes sold in Fayette County in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 9.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $308,000 (up 8.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $180.
- Median days on market: 70.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 89.3%.
- 59 homes for sale now, about 9.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Fayette County is showing signs of cooling with a Market Heat Score indicating a shift toward a buyer's market based on the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This composite index blends four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price cuts.
The current score reflects a shift from a tight seller's market to a more balanced environment. Median days on market have risen to 70 days compared to 51 days in the same period last year, indicating homes are taking longer to sell. Simultaneously, the median close-to-original list ratio stands at 89.3%, meaning buyers are negotiating down from asking prices more frequently than before.
Inventory has also increased, with 59 active listings and a months of supply reading of 9.6. This level of inventory typically favors buyers by providing more choices and less urgency. The median sale price of $308,000 is down 13.8% from the prior six-month period, further signaling reduced pricing power for sellers.
ALEX Intelligence calculated this heat score using a weighted model where days on market and inventory levels carry significant influence. A score below 50 generally suggests a buyer's market where negotiation leverage has shifted toward purchasers. While prices remain 8.1% higher than the same window last year, the recent trend points to a softening in demand relative to supply.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=37
Cover photo: Overlook near Kirtley, Fayette County ("Overlook near Kirtley, Texas - panoramio") by Todd Dwyer, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










